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Friday 28 March 2014

Timing is everything

A common measure of sustainability is the percentage of energy generated from renewable resources such as wind, solar, tidal, hydro, bio-mass etc.  Often the time period on which this statistic is estimated is a year.  Equally important is the timing of supply and demand.  The classic example is solar generation, the graph below illustrates the demand for electricity on a typical spring day and the solar irradiance available to contribute to meeting it, a similar graph could be drawn for wind and the time period extended to include seasonal variations.

The two ways of meeting the overnight demand are storage and alternative means of generation.  Most energy economies are evolving to adapt to diverse means of generation.  At the present time it is hard to make a good case for storage as most energy economies can absorb what wind and solar installations can offer them and frequently, they are given priority when working out how to meet demand.  In general, there are few surpluses of energy which can be accumulated in a storage system, even if such a system is available.  I don't have a handle on the relative risks and economics of utility scale storage and generation, but at a guess, maintaining a fossil/nuclear generating capability is the "low" risk option.  The approach makes wind and solar sources incremental parts of the energy mix which need backing up with an equivalent amount of conventional capacity.

The case for storage is that it is a step towards sustainability.  At its most basic, the harvest from solar panels during the day can be stored and used to keep the lights on after dark.  Within the arid regions towards the equator, where there a clear skies and relatively small seasonal variations, this could be a workable scenario.  In the temperate regions, more complex system are needed with a mix of solar and wind.  Solar works well in summer, but the winter yields are low, wind works better in winter and on some days neither produce very much.

I'm currently messing with a very small scale storage project in which a small computer attempts to keep itself alive by "buying" sustainable energy, this could be done as a computer similar (which is happening as a parallel task), but the having some hardware, makes it both fun (other relevant words are frustrating and expensive) and more instructive than a bunch of numbers from a computer programme.  There in one economic nicety, you can attempt to use off-peak electricity which is approx. 7p/kwh where possible in preference to normal daytime rates which are close to 20p/kwh.  If you used this approach to ensure that a high proportion of the electricity you use was from renewable resources, you would have some capital and operating costs beyond those normally associated with turning the lights on.

Living next to a railway station used by commuters, I've become aware that there are an increasing number of electric cars around, typically, these are priced at around £20k after a £5k government subsidy.  Apart from their high cost, electric vehicles charged by off-peak electricity are an attractive concept, in effect they are storage on wheels.  An interesting policy study would be the  effect of providing similar support for including storage into homes and offices.


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