The Winter Solstice

This is was written a few days before the Winter Solstice when the day is short and the Sun is low in the sky.  It is the time of the pre-Christian festival of Yule, regardless of one's religious beliefs, this is a time of year when the spirits need lifting from the cold and damp with parties and festivals.  At present I feel a strong desire to keep warm by setting fire to something that died a few million years ago.

Most religious festivals are linked in some way to the land and climate in which they are celebrated, for example, Candlemas (Feb-2) coincides with the time the soil starts to warm after the winter and Easter marks the start of the growing season and so on.  Whilst these events were once marked in some way, we increasingly isolate ourselves from seasonal variation with central heating in winter, air conditioning in summer and strawberries in November.  This process started with the large scale use of coal at the start of the Industrial Revolution around 1750.

The graph shows the estimated clear sky irradiance over Southern England at the time of the solstices and the equinoxes.  The energy yield at each time is proportional to the area under the curve, or to put it another way, its cold in winter and warm in summer.  It is possible to do similar things with wind.

We are an urban and industrial society and there is not going to be a return to the rural idyll (if it ever existed) any time soon.  Yet understanding and appreciating the climate and economy in which we live can lead to good designs and better decisions.  The sustainable energy economy is a big challenge and it is important to realise what can be achieved.  Industrial and urban economies need continuous supply of energy, part of the base load created by street lighting, transportation, schools, hospitals, data centres, pub signs etc..  I suggest that there is little public support for a railway system powered solely by wind turbines.  Sailing ships were displaced by coal fired steamships because they could run to schedules and were big enough to accommodate all who could afford to travel.  This base load will be underpinned for the foreseeable future by fossil/nuclear generation. Within that sector of the energy economy, the key elements are conservation, management and storage, implementation of which is not helped by legacy systems.

I'm embarrassed to admit it, but some of my interest in sustainable energy was sparked by the 1970s BBC TV series "The Good Life" in which an attractive young couple unimaginably named Tom and Barbara Good, but played endearingly by Richard Briars and Felicity Kendal attempt self-sufficiency in Surrey.  Needless to say the challenge was a rich source of humour.  My wife is too well grounded to let me indulge in such fantasies so I have contented myself with a paper project to provide 1 kwh per day from renewable sources without costing the Earth.  Whilst pondering this problem, I have learnt how to mount transistors in TO 220 cases, a little about controlling them with a computer, but I'm still struggling.  My backyard almost makes us self-sufficient in garlic and provides a small supply of vegetables of the type normally discarded by supermarkets but as a source of wind and solar energy it is a sad disappointment.

The path of helium filled balloons which have escaped from young partygoers suggests that at around 500m there might be a steady wind, but the neighbours, tolerant in many ways would not accept an airborne wind turbine.  A boat on a river estuary might work, but my wife is too well grounded to let me indulge in fantasies.  The obvious solution is to buy electricity from people who generate it from wind, solar and other sustainable sources and use the grid as a delivery system.  But energy from these sources is a natural product whose availability changes with the seasons.

How do you learn about this stuff?

I first became interested in sustainable energy around 2005.  This was before the financial crisis of 2008 when environmental issues were aspirations, not perceived as costs (maybe I exaggerate).  A 2.5 kw rooftop PV installation cost between £15k and £20k and there were no feed-in-tariffs, not surprisingly there were not many to be seen.  DIY superstores were selling 1 kw wind turbines for around £1,500 (I think) and there were stories in the press expressing horror at the low yields, this was not surprising considering that rating was usually for wind speeds around 15 m/s (approx. 30 mph), whilst this is not a gale, its the sort of wind you don't feel too often (for which many of us are grateful).  I struggled to understand this stuff.

Most of my working life I've been lurking in the shadows between technology and economics.  A traditional engineering education did not include economics and the attitude towards its practitioners was illustrated by graffiti  in engineering faculty toilets above the loo roll dispenser which read "Economics degree, please take one".  However, there was an implicit understanding that there should be a link between technical performance and economic benefits, however dubious.

My perception of wind and solar energy systems is that they are conversion devices, the input is "weather" e.g. wind, sunshine, cloud etc. and the output is electricity or heat.  Attempting to understand this relationship has led to the combining bits of wood, drain pipes, Meccano and a sketchy knowledge of electronics into experiments.  I realise now that I must have been a sad disappointment to those burdened with teaching me carpentry, metal work and technical drawing, be grateful that I trained on aircraft engines and did not become a kitchen fitter.

My first attempt around 2007 was the "Solar Bucket", this consisted of three components, a small solar panel, a lead acid battery and several devices to use the energy harvest, the most useful being an early LED light.  The photo shows the panel on a winter's day.

This provided some valuable experience.  It illustrated seasonality, the effects of clouds and much more.  The battery component was originally intended as a measurement device.  I was a little slow to realise it but the battery was the important component, storage is a key element of a sustainable energy economy.  I've heard several people say things like "I want solar panels to make me independent of the energy companies" (or variations n the theme), but the Sun does not shine at night, so without storage they are as dependent on fossil/nuclear fuel as the rest of us.  I argue that investment in energy storage would give a better outcome than more rooftop PV.  As I write this I am staring at more plywood, batteries and wires designed to act as a realistic load for energy management software.

Instructive as the "Solar Bucket" was, it did not act as a resource meter.  This resulted in several attempts at making radiometers.  Initially, these used light dependent resistors and did not work, as these are successfully used in cameras and other devices, the problem was my lack of knowledge.  At some point I purchased a batch of small, flat monocrystalline PV cells for about £1 each and these work well.  The current device could be described as a shaded radiometer and for some reason it attracts the attention of dogs.  The concept is simple, a horizontally mounted cell measures global irradiance, then a shade is placed between the sun and the cell, it then measures diffuse irradiance.  Combine these two measurements with Sun-Earth geometry and you can get an estimate of the direct beam irradiance.

I'm trying to estimate the accuracy of this device, but it suggests that the water content of the atmosphere has has a significant effect on irradiance and particularly diffuse irradiance.  There are some good models of clear sky irradiance, but some of these require data which is not readily available or are related to the climate in which the observations were made, this is an attempt to understand my own back yard.

The first radiometer was simply a PV cell shorted with a resistor, the current and therefore the irradiance was measured by measuring the voltage across the resistor with a multimeter.  For several months, I took readings with the cell horizontal with it angled at approximately 50 degrees to the horizontal.  Under a clear sky, pointing the cell in the direction of the Sun increases the output, this maximises the yield of solar devices in summer, but in winter, the English sky is often full of thick stratus cloud, on these days, the output of the PV cell was greatest in the horizontal position.  The object below was constructed to explore this further.

It consists of a light dependent resistor mounted at one end of a length of waste pipe which is mounted so that measurements can be made around the sky's hemisphere.  On an overcast day, the diffuse irradiance was equally distributed about the the sky, whilst on a clear one it was principally from the direction of the Sun.  This suggests that the yield from PV devices in an English winter might be maximised by mounting the panel horizontally.

My home is located on the western side a a valley in an area where the prevailing wind is from the south west, so we are fortunately sheltered from much bad weather.  Whilst solar is a back yard technology, observing the wind means leaving the house.  A lot of wind speed data is collected in clear open space such as airports, offshore buoys and weather balloons.  The data from these sources often relates to the flow of air over a relatively smooth surface and can have little or no relationship with the wind in nearby urban or rural environments.  In these places, the wind eddies around buildings and trees and neither the speed or direction is constant.  In this type of environment, vertical axis wind turbines offer some advantage.  I horizontal axis machine in an urban setting will often "hunt" for the wind, by the time it has aligned itself with the flow, the gust has dissipated.  I was first introduced to the Savonius design by a university friend from the Caribbean, whilst we were taught about marine, automotive and aircraft engines, simple devices for working irrigation pumps got little or no attention.  The Savonius device has two attractive features, the first is that it is not subject to the complex forces seen in other vertical designs, the second is the ease of construction.  In the West Indies they are often made by cutting a 40 gallon oil drum into two, then welding it back together so that it looks something like the model in the photo below.

A few happy days were spent cycling around the city and taking this model to the top of multi-storey car parks, to the end of breakwaters  and occasionally attracting the attention of dogs.  If you are a man wanting to attract women, borrow a puppy, if you want perfect solitude get a model wind turbine.

I did spend some time messing with a dynamometer for the Savonius model, but abandoned it when I realised that I would have little use for the data.  The Meccano tower lingered in my work room reminding me of the value of time.

What have I learnt?  The main lesson is that a sustainable energy economy is complex, its not just a case of shutting down nuclear power stations and seeding the countryside with wind turbines and putting a solar panel on every roof.  Its a blend of realistic expectations, generation, management and storage which is a large technical challenge, but so was developing the technology for nuclear power stations so we've been here before.  Also don't ignore economics, there is a belief held by some well meaning people that sustainability is above economics, one man's feed-in-tariff is another man's economic cost and this does not lead to good decision making.

Its quite possible to do a lot of experiments with limited resources.  The basic rule is to make mistakes cheaply and realise when you are wasting your time.  I put a lot of effort into a solar thermal device, this had a collector area or half a square metre, looked quite impressive but was useless for anything other than drying washing.  A series of small panels each 10 cm square cost very little and were quite instructive.

Wind is Moving Gas

A recent review of an electric car could be summarized as "This vehicle is not petrol driven".  Like a lot of things energy related, electric vehicles are not a simple swap from an old technology to a new one.  I have never owned or driven an electric vehicle so this is a framework which I might use to evaluate one, a sort of automotive lit-crit.

Most reviews of electric vehicles focus on range anxiety, at a guess this is more do with opportunities to re-charge than the distance/charge, typical numbers seem to be in the 100 - 200 km range.  I live in an area of controlled parking which is next to a railway station.  A statistically invalid survey of the parking permits of the vehicles in our road, suggests that 40% have travelled less than 1 km and that the remaining 60% have travelled less than 5 km and are parked in a garage or driveway at night.  The record shortest journey is 150 metres.  Whilst many of these vehicles are capable of crossing continents, most don't.  Whilst I have not lived in the US, I have spent a lot of time working there driving the American Dream (a.k.a. a Dodge Neon), even with a full schedule it was rare to travel more than 150 km in a day.  so with the significant exception of family holidays and trips to granny, range for many people is not an issue.

Cost is harder to deal with.  Half an hour of Googling and doing things with a pencil resulted in the following conclusions, first that electric cars are expensive to buy and secondly if charged up on-off peak electricity, cheaper to run.  What that does for my wife's 40 km commute is not obvious.

A neighbour recently described me as an "eco" because I rarely drive and prefer my bike, but I'm male and therefore lust after low slung sports cars (although my car-boot bike maybe quicker around town, sadly, beyond the city limits its not a contest).  I might drool over a Tesla.

I dispute the claims that electric vehicles produce zero emissions.  In the UK electricity is produced from a variety of sources including coal, gas, nuclear, wind and solar, last time I looked, CO2 emissions were around 0.4 to 0.5 kg/kwh for the country as a whole.  The environmental issues are at the point of generation not the car.  The fuel for electric vehicles is coal, gas, nuclear, wind and solar rather than petrol.

In the context of a sustainable energy economy, electric vehicles offer personal transportation using renewable sources such as wind and solar.  Equally important is that they are mobile storage devices.  A typical car spends 5% of its time on the road and 95% waiting to go somewhere.  Wind and solar sources produce energy at the whim of the weather and fossil/nuclear sources are most efficient at a constant load, this is why off-peak electricity maybe half the standard price.  The storage capacity of electric vehicles could be used to improve energy management as a peripatetic part of a smart grid.

At present, the case for electric vehicles is not proven, a situation made more complex by the availability of subsidies.  Subsidies are a good economic tool to bring about change, but they can also be proof of the doctrine of unforeseen consequences.

A not to close look at the electric vehicles on offer suggests that they "not petrol driven".  As electric vehicles are a new technology, maybe the starting point should be elsewhere.  A few times when I have been meandering through the countryside I have been overtaken by a golf buggy.  These vehicles cost around £4,000 (I think) and have been adapted for use on the Moon, so making them fit for the daily commute should not be too great a challenge.  A vehicle costing £5,000 with low running costs and a range of 200 km would be the car most people need, but maybe, not the car they want.  However, make a low slung version with good curves and you have a Sinclair C5 - Who said they were a bad idea?

Safety on the roads is an issue and the ability to survive a collision is important, once you have been in accident, this is not an academic concern.  Much as I love my bike, I am acutely aware of it's vulnerability and I nag my children to wear cycle helmets.  The city I live in is flirting with 20 mph speed limits, does a 20 mph environment offer the potential for lighter vehicles?

Postscript

After I finished this post, I saw an innovative electric trike, driven by a combination pedals and an electric motor fuelled by four lead acid batteries and a Mars bar.  I gave chase, but quickly lost contact before I could ask the owner's permission to take a photo.